Session Details
[A-OS08]Seasonal-to-decadal climate variability and predictability
Sun. May 20, 2018 10:45 AM - 12:15 PM JST
Sun. May 20, 2018 1:45 AM - 3:15 AM UTC
Sun. May 20, 2018 1:45 AM - 3:15 AM UTC
Poster Hall International Exhibition Hall7, Makuhari Messe_5
convener:Takashi Mochizuki(Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology), V Ramaswamy(NOAA GFDL), Yushi Morioka(海洋研究開発機構)
Climate variability on seasonal-to-decadal timescale (e.g. ENSO, IOD, PDO, AMO) involves processes and multiple physical interactions among atmosphere, land, ocean and sea-ice. Many efforts have been made for understanding the underlying physical processes and its predictability, but there remain large uncertainties in model simulation and prediction results of the seasonal-to-decadal climate variability. This indicates that some important gaps still exist in our current knowledge which are not fully resolved in current climate models, for example, atmosphere-ocean-ice interaction, troposphere-stratosphere coupling, initialization, and role of anthropogenic forcings. This session aims to narrow the gaps in our knowledge and identify the unresolved issues for better understanding and prediction of seasonal-to-decadal climate variability. All the observations, theoretical, process-level and modelling research on seasonal-to-decadal climate variability and its predictability are greatly welcome.
[AOS08-P01]Decadal climate predictability in the South Atlantic and southern Indian Oceans
*Yushi Morioka1, Takeshi Doi1, Andrea Storto2, Simona Masina2, Swadhin Behera1 (1.Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, 2.Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici)
[AOS08-P02]Mid-latitude source of the ENSO-spread in SINTEX-F ensemble predictions
*Tomomichi Ogata1, Takeshi Doi1, Yushi Morioka1, Swadhin Behera1 (1.JAMSTEC Application Lab)
[AOS08-P03]A three-region conceptual model for central Pacific El Niño including zonal advective feedback
*Xianghui Fang1, Mu Mu1 (1.Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Fudan Univ.)
[AOS08-P04]Observation of Water Vapor Base on GPS and Radiosonde During the occurrence of El Niño and La Niña, on the Sulawesi island - Indonesia
*Syachrul Arief1, Kosuke Heki1 (1.Hokkaido University)
[AOS08-P05]Experimental Seasonal Climate Prediction Using CFES
*Nobumasa Komori1, Bunmei Taguchi1,2, Akira Kuwano-Yoshida1,3, Takeshi Doi1, Masami Nonaka1 (1.Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, 2.Research Center for Advanced Science and Technology, The University of Tokyo, 3.Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University)
[AOS08-P06]Multiyear climate prediction using 4D-Var coupled data assimilation system
*Takashi Mochizuki1, Shuhei Masuda1, Yoichi Ishikawa1 (1.Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology)
[AOS08-P07]Decadal variability of sea surface temperature around Japan
*Kumi Yoshita1, Yoshiteru Kirtamura1, Toshiya Nakano1 (1.Japan Meteorological Agency)
[AOS08-P08]A study of the fluctuation of planetary albedo in decadal cycle evaluated from JRA-55
*Kazuki Ito1, Hiroshi L. Tanaka1 (1.University of Tsukuba)
[AOS08-P09]Interdecadal Explosive Cyclone Activity Associated with the Increased Frequency of Winter Storm Events in Hokkaido, Japan
*Takumi Tsukijihara1, Ryuichi Kawamura1, Tetsuya Kawano1 (1.Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Graduate School of Science, Kyushu University)
[AOS08-P10]Interannual Variability of the Baiu Front in May
*Tomohiko Tomita1, Tsuyoshi Yamaura2 (1.Faculty of Advanced Science and Technology, Kumamoto University, 2.Advanced Institute for Computational Science, RIKEN)