講演情報

[MGI29-14]Data-driven model for investigation of the mid-Pleistocene transition

*Evgeny M Loskutov1、Dmitry N Mukhin1、Andrey S Gavrilov1、Alexander M Feigin1 (1.Institute of Applied Physics RAS)

キーワード:

Data-driven Modeling、Critical Transitions、Time Series Analysis、Mid Pleistocene Transition

In this work we apply a data-driven model for the analysis of complex spatially distributed geophysical data. We are focused on the investigation of critical transitions on paleo timescales. Namely we investigated mid-Pleistocene transition which led to change of dominate cycles of glacial variability in Pleistocene.
We demonstrate the good performance of applying our data-driven model to analysis of paleoclimate variability. In particular, we discuss the possibility of detecting, identifying and prediction of the mid-Pleistocene transition by means of nonlinear empirical modeling using the paleoclimate record time series.
The study is supported by Government of Russian Federation (agreement #14.Z50.31.0033 with the Institute of Applied Physics of RAS).