Presentation Information
[SS10-05]Estimation of Effective Reproduction Number for a Heterogenous Model
*Sunmi Lee1 (1. Kyung Hee University (Korea))
Keywords:
Effective Reproduction Number,,Multi-Patch model,Mobility,COVID-19,Interventions
The effective reproduction number is a key metric for understanding the spatial transmission dynamics of infectious diseases. It plays a crucial role in tracking epidemic trends, assessing the impact of interventions, and shaping public health policies. In spatially heterogeneous environments like South Korea, where administrative regions vary in demographics, economic activity, and mobility patterns, region-specific estimation of R(t) is essential. Major urban centers such as Seoul and Gyeonggi Province act as primary transmission hubs, while rural areas display distinct patterns of disease spread. Additionally, interregional mobility facilitates cross-regional transmission, further complicating epidemic control. Accurately estimating the effective reproduction number in a spatially heterogeneous model is crucial for designing targeted and adaptive intervention strategies.In this talk, we will explore various methodologies for estimating the effective reproduction number in spatially heterogeneous models and discuss their implications for epidemic control.