Session Details

[A-CG64]Projection and detection of global environmental change

Fri. May 29, 2026 5:15 PM - 7:00 PM JST
Fri. May 29, 2026 8:15 AM - 10:00 AM UTC
Poster Hall Exhibition Hall 7&8, Makuhari Messe_15
convener:Michio Kawamiya(Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology), Lynn Hirose(Princeton University), V Ramaswamy(NOAA GFDL), Kaoru Tachiiri(Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology), Hiroaki Tatebe(Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology)
Manifestations of global warming and related anthropogenic environmental changes are becoming evident in a number of parameters of scientific and societal interest. Projected in the future are more frequent extreme weather events, rising sea levels, ocean acidification and hypoxia, and large-scale ecosystem changes. The 7th phase of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP7) is now underway with a perspective of possible contributions to the 7th Assessment Report (AR7) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), due to be published in early 2028. In addition to CMIP7, various other types of projection and prediction research are also flourishing, including event attribution, model development incorporating the interaction between environmental change and socioeconomics, and high-resolution model development advocating a "global digital twin", and applications resulting from these investigations. This session hosts the latest research findings with a view to modeling global-to-regional projections and predictions, and interdisciplinary collaborations including those with observational research and linkages to social sciences. We welcome presentations on topics such as the initial analysis of results obtained from the CMIP7 Fast Track experiments, and the development of high-resolution models for future applications.

[ACG64-P01]Re-evaluating Empirical WBGT Estimation Formulas under Recent Climate Change in Japan

*Ken Noguchi1, KOJI DAIRAKU2, Guo Qiang2,3 (1.College of Engineering Systems, University of Tsukuba, 2.Institute of Systems and Information Engineering, University of Tsukuba, 3.Tsukuba Institute for Advanced Research (TIAR), University of Tsukuba)

[ACG64-P02]Comparison of Forcing Data used in Climate Model Experiments Between CMIP7 and CMIP6

*Manabu Abe1 (1.Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology)

[ACG64-P03]Integrating Terrestrial Nitrogen Limitation into SCM4OPT v4.0 for Long-Term SSP Projections

*Xuanming Su1, Kaoru Tachiiri1 (1.Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology)

[ACG64-P04]Development of a Unified Photosynthesis-Hydraulics Module for MIROC-ES2L

*Keiichi Hashimoto1,2, Tomohiro Hajima2, Hiroaki Miura1 (1.Department of Earth and Planetary Science, The University of Tokyo, 2.Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology)

[ACG64-P05]Assessing climate-human feedback using a coupled Earth-human system model

*Kaoru Tachiiri1, Ken’ichi Matsumoto2, Xuanming Su1, Tokuta Yokohata3, Hiroaki Takayama1, Tomohiro Hajima1 (1.Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, 2.Toyo University, 3.National Institute for Environmental Studies, Japan)

[ACG64-P06]Long-term Earth System Responses, Reversibility, and Tipping Points Beyond 2100: Implications for Climate Policy

*Tokuta Yokohata1, Irina Melnikova1, Michiya Hayashi1, Hideo Shiogama1, Kazuya Nishina1, Shintaro Takao1, Yasuto Watanabe1, Tatsuo Suzuki2, Kazuya Kusahara2, Tomohiro Hajima2, Michio Kawamiya2, Yusuke Satoh2, Masakazu Yoshimori3, Ayako Abe-Ouchi3, Yuta Kuniyoshi3, Youichi Kamae4, Hidetaka Kobayashi5, Akitomo Yamamoto6, Katsumasa Tanaka7, KIYOSHI TAKAHASHI1 (1.National Institute for Environmental Studies, 2.Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, 3.The University of Tokyo, 4.University of Tsukuba, 5.University of Toyama, 6.Chiba University, 7.Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace)