Session Details

[U-02]Applied Math Perspectives on Modeling, Analyzing, and Predicting Complex Geophysical Systems

Mon. May 25, 2026 9:00 AM - 10:30 AM JST
Mon. May 25, 2026 12:00 AM - 1:30 AM UTC
Exhibition Hall Special Setting (2) Exhibition Hall 7&8, Makuhari Messe
convener:Nan Chen(University of Wisconsin Madison), Di Qi(Purdue University), Charlotte Moser(University of Wisconsin Madison), Chairperson:Moser Charlotte(University of Wisconsin Madison), Qi Di(Purdue University)
Nonlinear phenomena in complex multiscale turbulent dynamic systems are ubiquitous in geoscience. Effective modeling methods and efficient computational analysis in these geophysical processes remain a significant challenge in contemporary science, with substantial social implications for pressing issues in many geophysical, ocean, and atmospheric fields. Modeling, analyzing, and forecasting these complex systems is especially challenging due to the intermittent energy transfer between unresolved subscales induced by nonlinear effects and the occurrence of extreme events. Therefore, it is of practical importance to develop novel models, design new numerical algorithms, and implement model-based and machine-learning techniques to advance efficient forecasts and enhance our understanding of nature. This session aims to integrate novel applied math tools with geophysical systems. The main themes will include, but not be limited to, local- and global-scale dynamical modeling, stochastic and statistical reduced-order models, machine learning theory and algorithms, understanding intermittency, predicting rare and extreme events, analyzing observational data, data-driven techniques, multiscale analysis, optimal design, hybrid methods, data assimilation, and uncertainty quantification. Studies focusing on modeling and predicting specific phenomena such as ENSO, Monsoon, MJO, atmospheric rivers, hurricanes, and sea ice also belong to the main themes. In addition, applications such as case studies and the development of new datasets, software, and open-source codes are also welcome.

[U02-01]Bridging Idealized and Operational Models: An Explainable AI Framework for Earth System Emulators★Invited Papers

Pouria Pouria Behnoudfar1, *Charlotte Moser1, Marc Bocquet2, Sibo Cheng2, Nan Chen1 (1.University of Wisconsin Madison, 2.École Nationale des Ponts)

[U02-02]Skillful or not the prediction of AI model depends on the enoughness of training data which represents the corresponding physical mechanism★Invited Papers

*Mu Mu1, Guokun Dai1 (1.Fudan University)

[U02-03]Geometric, Interpretable Machine Learning for Streamflow Dynamics Analysis★Invited Papers

*Willem Diepeveen1, Jon Schwenk2, Andrea Bertozzi1 (1.University of California, Los Angeles, 2.Los Alamos National Laboratory)

[U02-04]Application of the resistor–capacitor (RC)-framework analogy to explain the global-mean surface temperature response to multi-year La Niña events★Invited Papers

Tomoki Iwakiri1, *Tsubasa Kohyama2 (1.University of Hawaii at Manoa, 2.Department of Information Sciences, Ochanomizu University)

[U02-05]Assimilative Causal Inference★Invited Papers

*Marios Andreou1, Nan Chen1, Erik Bollt2 (1.University of Wisconsin Madison, 2.Clarkson University)