Presentation Information
[競技スポーツ-A-09]Do Goals Improve Your Ability?（測,コ）A Natural Experiment Using Swimming Standard Time
*Ryohei Hayashi1 (1. Kochi University of Technology)
It is generally more effective for individuals to make an effort when they have a specific goal. Policymakers need to understand which goals can be set to most efficiently enhance people's abilities. In this study, we measured the impact of goals using data from swimming competitions. The Inter-High School Championships, which all high school swimmers in Japan aspire to compete in, have standard times for participation. These standard times are set exogenously and are updated annually. We examined whether there is a difference in the growth rate of records between swimmers who have already met this year's standard time and those who have not. For our analysis, we used panel data on approximately 97,000 swimmers who participated in the Inter-High School Championships and their qualifying events from 2013 to 2019. Our analysis revealed no difference in progress between athletes whose records at the same competition a year ago were below this year's qualifying standard and those whose records were above it. We also explore the significance of the gap between a swimmer's current record and the standard, as well as the influence of sex differences. The results of this study call into question the validity of the idea that selection criteria such as entrance examinations, job interviews, and qualification examinations can improve people's performance.
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